President Joe Biden has a slim lead over Donald Trump in a hypothetical matchup for the 2024 presidential election, according to a new poll, though both have yet to officially announce whether they plan to run.
The Emerson College poll, released Friday, shows that 45 percent of voters would choose Biden, while 44 percent would choose Trump. Another 6 percent said they would vote for someone else and 5 percent were undecided.
Neither Biden, 79, nor Trump, 76, have officially confirmed their plans for 2024, though both have hinted at a possible run. In an interview with 60 minutes that aired on Sunday, Biden said that while his intentions have always been to seek a second presidential term, he has not yet come to a conclusion on the matter.
“Look, my intention, as I said at the beginning, is to run again,” Biden said. “But it’s just an intention. But is it a firm decision that I run again? That remains to be seen.”
While speaking on an episode of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show in late July, Trump said it would be “very hard for me not to run, to be honest.”
Other recent polls have indicated that if Trump officially decides to run, he would be the most likely choice as the Republican nominee. In August, a Yahoo and YouGov poll found that Trump had the most support among a group of possible candidates for the 2024 Republican primary election. The former president received 49 percent of the vote in the poll, while the Republican governor of Florida Ron Desantis got 31 percent.
But with the 2024 election still some time away, it’s unclear whether Trump could ultimately succeed against Biden in a hypothetical matchup, and vice versa.
While the current Biden had only a 1 percent lead over Trump in the new Emerson College poll, a poll released earlier this month by The Wall Street Journal it showed that Biden had a more sizable lead. Biden led Trump by six points in the poll, with 50 percent support among registered voters compared to Trump’s 44 percent.
Also, after facing lagging approval ratings in recent months as the US grappled with problems like soaring inflation and gas prices, support for Biden has seen an uptick. The 45 percent approval rating for Biden recorded in the new Emerson poll was the highest the pollster has found all year.
On the other hand, the current average number of surveys from RealClearPolitics shows Trump with a slight 0.6 percent lead over Biden.
news week contacted the White House and Trump’s spokesman for comment.